제목 : Beyond Shrinking Numbers: Forecasting Vulnerability to Extreme Events in South Korea's Aging Population
간단한 소개 : 세계적인 인구학 대가이신 상해대학교의 레이원 지앙(Leiwen Jiang) 교수님의 기조 연설을 시작으로 다양한 한국 공간인구학의 연구를 엿볼 수 있는 자리입니다. 김오석 교수님은 한국 미래의 인구구조와 그간 연구물 및 현재 진행 중인 연구에 대해 발표할 예정이며, 그 외 여러 정부출연연구기관에서 수행한 AI 기법과 빅데이타를 사용한 최신 인구연구를 접할 수 있습니다.
초록 : South Korea confronts a trifecta of extreme demographic challenges: lowest-low fertility, super-aging, and extreme population concentration in the Seoul metropolitan area. These interconnected issues pose serious threats to the nation's resilience and long-term sustainability. Lowest-low fertility rates have led to school closures and the shuttering of obstetrics and pediatrics facilities, creating a vicious cycle that further discourages childbearing. This demographic decline is coupled with a rapidly aging population, resulting in a growing demand for healthcare services and a shrinking pool of caregivers. The strain on the healthcare system is already evident in the emerging shortage of blood for medical use. Furthermore, the extreme concentration of the population in the Seoul metropolitan area has reached a tipping point, making it virtually impossible to reverse the trend. Efforts to improve accessibility to rural areas, such as expanding transportation networks, may inadvertently exacerbate migration towards the capital. Adding to these challenges, East Asia is experiencing climate change at a faster rate than the global average, further complicating South Korea's situation. The combination of demographic imbalances and escalating climate risks necessitates urgent and comprehensive policy interventions to mitigate these converging threats and ensure a sustainable future for the nation.
일시 : 10월 31일 목 오전 10시 15분부터
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